SHARE PRICE DETERMINATION AND CORPORATE FIRM CHARACTERISTICS – Complete Project Material

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SHARE PRICE DETERMINATION AND CORPORATE FIRM CHARACTERISTICS

ABSTRACT

At the close of 2009 the total market value of 266 securities listed on the Nigerian Stock market dropped by 26.5% resulting mainly from share price losses. In effect the crux of this work was to investigate share price determination and corporate firm characteristics in a view to critically examine the significant effect corporate firm characteristics has in determining the price of shares listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange. A panel data design was adopted using seventy-two companies from 2004-2009, a six year period which were purposely selected based on availability and adequacy of data. Due to the panel nature of the study Ordinary Least Square (OLS), fixed effect and random effect estimation technique were employed in the analysis with the use of Gretl econometric analytical tool. The result indicates that the size of the firm has the most significant effect on share price determination in the two models adapted for the study. Conclusions were made on the note that our findings provided new and additional insights in the finance literature and point to a fruitful new line of research from both a theoretical and an empirical standpoint. Hence recommendations were made in the lights that investors should be critical and objective in considering corporate firm characteristics in making investment decisions also Managements and board members should aim at improving earnings which was rated through the literature reviewed to be a major determinant of share price. This could be done by proper definitions of earnings management to avoid manipulations of accounts which most times lead to fraud.
Keywords: Share Price, Corporate Firm Characteristics, Nigerian Stock Exchange.
TABLE OF CONTENTS

CONTENTS——– PAGE
Cover———— i
Title page———- ii
Declaration———- iii
Certification———- iv
Dedication———- v
Acknowledgements———-vi
Abstract———- vii
Table of Content———-viii
List of Tables———- ix
List of Figures———- x

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of Study——– 1
1.2 Research Problem———-4
1.3. Objectives of Study——– 6
1.4 Research Questions——– 7
1.5 Research Hypothesis——– 7
1.6 Significance of the Study——– 8
1.7 Scope and Limitation of the Study—— 9
1.8 Summary of Research Methodology—— 9
1.9 Sources of Data———-11
1.10. Definition of Terms——– 12
References———- 15

CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.0 Introduction———-16
2.1 The Nigerian Experience——– 16
2.1.1 The Nigerian Financial System—— 16
2.1.2 The Nigerian Stock Market—— 17
2.2 Conceptual Framework——– 21
2.2.1 Concept of Share Price Determination——23
2.2.2 Corporate Firm Growth and Share Price Determination– 26
2.2.3 Corporate Firm Profitability and Share Price Determination– 26
2.2.4 Corporate Firm Risk and Share Price Determination—-29
2.2.5 Corporate Firm Age and Share Price Determination—-31
2.2.6 Corporate Firm Size and Share Price Determination—-31
2.2.7 Share Price Determination and Macro Economic Variables– 33
2.3 Theoretical Framework——– 35
2.3.1 Efficient Market Hypothesis—— 35
2.4 Review of Empirical Literature on Share Price Determination and Corporate
Firm Characteristics——– 39
References———- 45

CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.0 Introduction———-51
3.1 Research Design———-51
3.2 Population of Study——– 52
3.3 Sample Size and Sampling Technique—— 52
3.4 Data Gathering Method——– 53
3.4.1 Sources of Data——– 53
3.4.2 Instruments for Data Collection—— 54
3.4.3 Validity and Reliability of Instruments—- 54
3.4.4 Administration of Instruments.—— 55
3.5 Problem of Data Collection——–56
3.6 Actual Field Work/ Location of Study—— 56
3.7 Data Analysis Method——– 57
3.7.1 Method of Data Analysis—— 57
3.7.2 Instruments for Data Analysis (Including Formulae)– 57
3.7.3 Diagnostic Analysis——–60
References———- 62

CHAPTER FOUR: DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS
4.0 Introduction———-63
4.1 Data Presentation and Preliminary analysis——63
4.2 Overall Descriptive Analysis——–65
4.3 Data Analysis Advance——– 67
4.3.1 Correlation Analysis——– 67
4.3.2 Regression Analysis——–71
4.4 Hypothesis Testing——– 78
4.4.1 Model 1———-78
4.4.2 Model 2———-80
References———- 86

CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
5.0 Introduction———-87
5.1 Summary of Work Done——– 87
5.2 Summary of Findings——– 89
5.2.1 Theoretical Findings——–89
5.2.2 Empirical Findings——–91
5.3 Conclusions———- 93
5.4 Recommendations———-95
5.5 Suggestions for Further Studies——–96
References———- 97

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1.1 Nigerian Stock Exchange Share Price Index for the Period 1985 to 2009 2
Figure 4.1 Percentages of Samples Selected From Companies—-64

LIST OF TABLES
Table 4.2.1: Overall Descriptive Statistics for Model 1—- 65
Table 4.2.2 Overall Descriptive Statistics for Model 2—- 66
Table 4.3.1.1 Correlation Coefficient Matrix for Model 1—- 68
Table 4.3.1.2 Correlation Coefficient Matrix for Model 2—- 69
Table 4.3.2.1 Regression Result for Model—— 71
Table 4.3.2.2 Regression Result for Model 2—— 75
Table 4.4.1 Summary of Hypothesis Results For Model 1—- 84
Table 4.4.2 Summary of Hypothesis Results For Model 2—- 85

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